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Local Market Update – October 2023
With the fall season finally upon us, the behavior of the housing market is like the range in outdoor temperatures: somewhere between warm to cool. There’s a lower overall volume of home sales than in recent years, but at the same times buyers are moving quickly and assertively on highly desired properties, despite higher interest rates.
Although these interest rates could make it more difficult for sellers to see significant price gains in the near future, the high demand for homes after a prolonged inventory drought in our region is likely to keep buyer activity on accurately priced listings unseasonably warm.
Overall, buyers and sellers are likely to experience this fall as something of a transitional period. The market has slowed considerably after the frenzy of the pandemic, and interest rates have yet to stabilize. It’s most likely that the market will remain slow until sometime in the new year, at which point either interest rates will have dropped slightly, buyers will be better equipped to manage them, or sidelined sellers will grow tired of waiting.
Despite a September slowdown in home sales, King County did see price gains for residential listings and condos. The median price for single-family homes increased about 3% year-over-year, from $875,000 in September 2022 to $900,000 last month. Around one-third of listings in the county sold over list price last month, in an average of just 6 days. Properties that sold at list price spent around 10 days on the market. Condos rose a more noticeable 7% in September, from $483,000 to $515,000.
The Seattle residential market also saw modest price gains, with the median sold price of single-family homes increasing from $900,000 last September to $926,000 this September.. Around 29% of listings sold over list price, in an average of 5 days. Those that sold at list price spent a slightly longer 11 days on market, however this still indicates that buyers are prepared to move quickly on properties that are accurately priced. Condos in the city also saw a respectable 10% price increase year-over-year, rising from $499,000 in September 2022 to $550,000 last month. With nearly 3 month’s inventory, the Seattle condo market may have the highest inventory rate and be the most balanced market in the region at this time.
On the Eastside, prices crept up around 6% from $1,350,000 in September 2022 to $1,427,500 last month. Demand is still high in the area, with 32% of listings selling above list price, averaging just 5 days on market. Those that sold at their list price were purchased within 6 days. Condos on the Eastside saw decent year-over-year price growth, increasing 7% from $580,000 last year to $620,000 last month.
Homes in Snohomish County saw the smallest yearly price increase, rising just 2% from $735,000 in September 2022 to $749,900 last month. Despite this lower rate of price growth, about 31% of homes sold above listing price, averaging only 6 days on the market. Those that sold at listing price spent a bit longer on the market, averaging 13 days. The condo market in Snohomish is the only niche market in the region that saw a price decrease compared to last year. In September 2022, the median price was $539,500. Last month, prices decreased about 8%, landing at a median of $498,500.
It’s likely that we will continue to see fewer unit sales in our region through the end of the year. However, if you need to buy or sell a home before then, there are opportunities to make the most of current conditions. Ask your Windermere broker for more information about how this market might align with your goals.
EASTSIDE
KING COUNTY
SEATTLE
SNOHOMISH COUNTY
VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT
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As summer draws to a close, the local housing market remains somewhat unsettled. This is due to persistently high interest rates that have caused buyers to pause and sellers to hold onto their pandemic-era mortgage rates, as well as low inventory increasing competition for the available listings. Sold home prices in some areas have begun to see year-over-year price increases in relation to the slowdown that hit the market at the end of last year. Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner remarked on this trend. “Historically, the number of homes for sale slows in August,” he said. “Where sales did occur, prices rose between July and August in King and Pierce counties.” Gardner also described these conditions as “very unique times” in the housing market. While these conditions may be challenging to navigate, sellers are still finding success with correctly-priced listings. New listings are attracting multiple offers and often sell over list price. Buyers who come prepared with strategic offers and a willingness to waive contingencies can break into the market with the guidance of a savvy broker. King County was one of the regions that saw year-over-year price gains. The median price for a single-family home rose 0.7% from $899,999 in August 2022 to $906,250 last month. Condos saw even bigger gains, likely due to their better affordability for new homebuyers. The median price for condos in August was $525,000, up 8.25% from $485,000 the same time a year ago. The Seattle market hasn’t quite caught up to its pricing from this time last year. There, the median price for single-family homes in August was $899,000, down about 3% from $927,000 in August 2022. On the other hand, the condo market saw a 10.5% price increase year-over-year, rising from $520,000 in 2022 to $575,000 last month. Eastside median sold prices fared better. After a somewhat sluggish summer in terms of pricing, last month the median price for single-family homes rose to $1,453,000. That’s an increase of 7.6% from $1,350,000 in August 2022. Condos in the area also saw price growth, with median sold prices increasing 5.4% from $569,000 last year to $600,475 in August. Like Seattle, Snohomish County also hasn’t caught up to its 2022 prices, though this is likely because the county had fewer fluctuations in the last year and may be experiencing the typical end-of-summer slowdown that is common in the housing market. There, the median price for single-family homes was down 2.6% from $749,999 last August to $730,563 this year. The condo market was virtually unchanged in pricing, increasing from $474,999 in August 2022 to an even $475,000 last month. In all the areas mentioned above, condos generally saw the most notable price gains. This is likely due to their greater affordability for first-time homebuyers and those in the median price-bracket. With interest rates still fluctuating, many buyers are rethinking their plans and may be pivoting to the condo market, thus driving up demand and prices. Matthew Gardner sees the current real estate market as still “lack[ing] direction,” due to the ongoing interest rate issues. He says “it likely won’t find its footing until mortgage rates start to pull back, which I expect to see as we enter the fall months – and assuming the U.S. economy continues to moderate.” The remainder of the year will set the tone for how the market looks in 2024. Until then, your Windermere broker can help you navigate these changing conditions and find a strategy that’s best for your buying or selling journey. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
The dog days of summer are upon us, and along with stifling heat comes a sluggish market. High interest rates and a dearth of available inventory are driving prices up and slowing sales across the region. One major contributor to the low supply of homes is the phenomenon of homeowners protecting their sweet pandemic-era mortgage rates of 3-4%. Rather than selling and having to manage interest rates that are currently in 7% range, they are choosing to stay put. This means homes that otherwise might have been on the market this time of year are also staying put, and would-be buyers are competing for very limited inventory. According to Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner, July’s active listings in the tri-county market were fewer than in any July on record, excepting the pandemic year of July, 2021. Gardner also noted that “With mortgage rates unlikely to move tangibly lower during the balance of the summer, I don’t expect the market to move much over the coming months, both in terms of sales and prices.” But he did add that “If the economy starts to soften this fall, rates could start to fall and this could revitalize the market.” The key now seems to be accurately pricing the listings that are available. While there’s limited inventory, mortgage rates are putting a damper on buying power. Buyers may already be forced to compromise on lifestyle and location for mid-tier properties. They won’t want to compromise on price as well. In King County, the median sold price for a single-family home was $897,500 in July, up from $890,000 in July, 2022. Condos also saw a boost, landing at a median of $510,000 last month—up from $490,000 a year ago. This is likely due to high demand and strong competition from buyers in the area. In Seattle, the necessity of pricing homes accurately is clear. As an example, 69% of Seattle single family homes sold in under 15 days in July, and these generated sold prices that were 100.1% of their list price. Those that took longer than two weeks to sell, however, closed at 97.5% of list price. Seattle sold prices softened a bit in July. The median price for a single-family home in the city was $899,950, down from $954,500 a year ago. On the other hand, condo prices rose to $550,000 last month, up from $537,000 a year ago. Low inventory on the Eastside had the effect of pushing up home prices in July, when the median sold price of a single-family home was $1,500,000. That’s an increase from $1,420,000 in July 2022. It’s also the first month since September of last year that Eastside median prices have increased from the year prior, so the mid-summer market has shown some heat. Eastside condo prices also increased last month, with a median sold price of $600,000, up from $575,000 a year ago. Snohomish County saw prices soften slightly last month. The median sold price for a single-family home dropped from $770,000 last July to $751,250 this July. Even with less than one month’s inventory, interest rates are slowing sales and causing prices to drop. Condo prices also dipped slightly, from $500,000 in July 2022 to $495,000 last month. The county’s condo market had only .7 months of inventory, but this supply squeeze couldn’t completely counter high interest rates when it came to the impact on sold prices. Looking ahead, it’s clear that now more than ever, sellers and buyers need to tether their real estate interests to a knowledgeable broker who will help them navigate these fluctuating market dynamics. If you have questions about what current market conditions mean for you, reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
This summer’s local housing market is seeing low inventory feed higher prices, putting the squeeze on would-be buyers. June is typically the month where home prices reach their apex, and last month was no exception as King and Snohomish counties’ prices neared the peaks seen during the sugar high of the pandemic market. Approximately 80% of recent transactions have been in the more affordable and mid-price ranges, which are nearly sold-out at the moment. Because of this, multiple offers and offers over list price were more prevalent in June’s closed home sales than at any other point this year. Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner addressed the inventory shortfall. “The number of homes for sale in the Central Puget Sound area in June was down 48% from the same month in 2019 (pre-pandemic),” he said. “I believe much of the reason for this is that almost 33% of in-state homeowners have mortgage rates at or below 3%, and 87% of owners have rates below 5%. There is little incentive to list your home for sale if you don’t have to.” In King County, the median sold price for a single-family home landed at $935,000 in June. This is just a notch below the median price of $938,225 in June 2022. The scarce inventory has caused buyers to compete more aggressively and sellers to list higher, thus leading to comparable peaks as the pandemic market in summer 2022. Likewise, condos were up from $525,000 June 2022 to a median of $529,975 last month. In Seattle, June’s median sold price for a single-family home was $930,000, down 7% from June 2022. Condo prices in the city were up year-over-year, with a median price of $550,000—an increase from $538,700 last June. This jump could be due in part to rising residential prices pushing some buyers into the more affordable condo market. The Eastside, meanwhile, is seeing sales activity slow because of extremely limited supply. The level of new inventory coming onto the market is just 44% of the 10-year average. As a result, median prices have held strong. In June, the median sold price for an Eastside single-family home was $1,450,000, barely off last June’s mark of $1,500,000. In Snohomish County, the median price for a single-family home last month was $774,975, down from $799,950 in June 2022. Condos actually saw a year-over-year price increase, from $500,000 last June to a median of $506,000 last month. The strength of Snohomish County condo prices is likely tethered to low inventory—there is just over a two week-supply of condo units in the area. Economist Matthew Gardner notes that “Sale prices in King and Snohomish counties rose for the fifth consecutive month and are only modestly lower than a year ago. It will be interesting to see if this trend can continue given the stubbornly high mortgage rates.” Despite the high interest rates and scant supply, buyers who are educated on the market and working with a trusted broker should be able to navigate these changing market conditions. For more information on how you can make the most of your real estate endeavors, reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
The more frenetic activity of a typical spring real estate market has certainly hit our area, with buyers out in droves looking for homes. What they’ve found, however, is high competition and scant listings. The region’s low housing inventory has been a constraint that has resulted in fewer closed sales than we’ve seen in recent spring markets. According to real estate experts, housing supply and interest rates are the defining obstacles for buyers at the moment. On the Eastside, active inventory is only 32% of the 10-year average, and new listings are off 34% year-to-date. This is driving prices up, while interest rates put a damper on what buyers can afford. While recent demand has been strong, experts expect that demand will taper off as interest rates approach the 7% mark. Because inventory is so scant, however, sellers who adequately price their homes are seeing success in this market. As an example, around 44% of properties on the Eastside are selling above their asking price, at an average of 5% over list. Anecdotally, the homeowners who are most likely to sell at the moment are those who purchased before the historic low interest rates of the pandemic or have paid off their homes and are thus mortgage-free. Buyers in this market have some negotiating power as well, having successfully negotiated pre-inspections, homeowner warranties and seller-paid closing costs to mitigate the high rates. In King County, with just shy of one month’s inventory, competition in the area is fierce and buyers will need to be ready to negotiate when the right listing comes along. The county’s median sold price for a single family home dropped almost 9% year-over-year, from $998,888 in May 2022 to $910,000 this year. However, that’s still an increase from April’s median of $875,000. Seattle had similar low inventory, at one month’s supply. The median sold price for single-family homes rose from $886,000 in April to $905,125 last month. While there’s been continued monthly price growth so far this year, May’s median sold price was still down 11.7% from the median of $1,025,500 in May 2022. Although residential inventory is tight, buyers in the city may have more luck with condos, which are both more affordable and more plentiful at the moment. The Seattle condo market currently has almost two months of inventory, and a more reasonable median price of $550,000. Like Seattle, the Eastside has just one month of inventory at the moment. However, higher interest rates are being felt a little more in this pricier area, as May’s median sold price for a single-family home did not change from April’s median of $1,450,000. This is down 8.8% from the median of $1,590,000 in May 2022. The supply of Eastside condos is lower than the residential supply, with just .8 month’s inventory. At a median sold price of $582,000 last month, condos may be a slightly easier path to homeownership for those searching on the Eastside. Finally, Snohomish County saw month-over-month price gains in May, landing at a median sold price of $780,000 for a single-family home, up from $767,500 in April. May’s median price was down 8% from $782,000 in May 2022. The county’s more affordable price points may allow for better appreciation in the area, despite the continued higher interest rates that have stifled other local markets. With just two weeks of inventory, the Snohomish County condo market is the tightest regional market at the moment. The median price for condos in the area is $544,900, down less than 1% from $550,000 in May 2022. As buyers and sellers navigate continued low inventory and high interest rates, they both must be comfortable negotiating terms to achieve the best possible outcome. Buyers should be ready to move fast and bring as much cash to the table as they can, while sellers should be cognizant of the burden higher rates can create and price their listings accordingly. If you have questions about how to navigate these changing market conditions, reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
As the weather warms, so too does our real estate market, it seems. With dwindling inventory and climbing prices, the housing market is on an upswing, even if it’s a small one. This places sellers back in the driver’s seat, with buyers forced to compete against multiple offers and in the face of higher interest rates than last spring. The evidence for the market’s positive growth can be found in higher median closed sales prices, an increased percentage of multiple offers and a higher median percentage paid above the original asking price. The primary constraint on the market at this point is a lower number of active listings. Many sellers are reluctant to part with their historically low interest rates from the pandemic years, and with volatile interest rates it’s an understandable predicament. The lower number of available homes on the market has contributed to rising prices as buyers compete for a limited pool of properties. This trend often leads to multiple offers and bidding wars, further driving up prices. For those buyers who do decide to jump into the fray, interest rates remain a key factor in determining their buying power. For the last few months, activity in the market has ticked up when rates dip, but some buyers are willing to face higher interest rates with the plan of refinancing when rates settle. Even with that in mind, interest rates can have a huge impact on a buyer’s price bracket. For example, the median Seattle home price has declined by about 13% ($133,950) year-over-year. However, the increase in interest rates has offset this reduction. As a result, the median monthly mortgage payment remains around $5,507, which is comparable to the payment amount from a year ago — despite a lower median sold price. Although home prices in our region may be lower year-over-year, prices have generally been increasing each month this year. In King County, April’s median single-family home price was $875,000. That’s down 12.6% from last April’s $995,000, but up from a median of $840,000 in March. A single month of available inventory means competition for homes is tight throughout the county. In Seattle, April’s median price for a single family home was $886,000 — down quite a bit from the same month last year, when the median price was $1,019,950. However, prices were up from a median of $869,975 in March, and low inventory of just over a month’s supply means demand is still high and prices are likely to keep inching upward. Condo prices in the city were actually up year-over-year, with a median sold price of $539,000 in April, compared to $512,500 in April 2022. The Eastside also saw month-over-month price growth in April, with the median price for a single-family home landing at $1,450,000. This is up from $1,411,500 in March. Despite a 15% decrease in year-over-year prices, the current monthly price growth trend is notable. It’s likely we will not see the exponential price increases of the pandemic again anytime soon, making slow, steady growth the norm once again. The Eastside also has about one month of inventory for single-family homes, making it once again a competitive market. Finally, Snohomish County saw month-over-month price growth in April as well. The median price of a single family home was $767,500, up from $724,000 in March. With less than one month of available inventory, the housing market in Snohomish County is trending warm-to-hot. Condos in the county had the tightest inventory of any market, with less than two weeks’ supply. That combined with April’s median sold price of $544,900 makes the Snohomish County condo market a competitive market for buyers to break into. If you have questions about these housing market trends or real estate in general, please reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
Spring has truly arrived in our region, with longer days and blooming cherry blossoms. Along with these harbingers of the season, the pace of the local real estate market has also picked up, indicating that the spring market is finally here. An uptick in new listings and price gains in the last month demonstrates a typical seasonal pattern, and buyers and sellers are adjusting their strategies accordingly. According to Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner, the total inventory in King, Snohomish and Pierce counties grew over 14% from February. However, the number of homes for sale in the tri-county area was down about 40% when compared to pre-pandemic stats from March 2019. This gives sellers the advantage when it comes to setting prices for their listings. Gardner noted this as well. “Despite the growing number of available homes for sale, sellers in King County are holding firm, with listing prices increasing by over 5% compared to February. In Snohomish County, listing prices were up just shy of 5%,” he said. While the monthly increase in listings is good news for buyers, fluctuating interest rates and steadfast prices from sellers mean some borrowers are getting creative with their financing. Bridge loans, home equity loans and purchases contingent on the sale of the buyer’s previous home are coming back into circulation. These factors and more are that buyers are eager to take advantage of the market when interest rates dip down to more comfortable levels. As rates continue to fluctuate and gradually level off, prices may once again become the major determining factor for which listing a buyer may pursue. In King County, the median price for a single-family home rose about 4.8% from $800,000 in February to $840,000 last month. While that’s still down 9.68% from the median price of $930,000 in March 2022, steady price growth in the face of higher interest rates is certainly notable. With about one month of inventory, the ball is still in the sellers’ court, despite lower year-over-year prices. Seattle followed a similar pattern. The median price for single-family homes dropped 10.3% from $970,000 in March 2022 to $869,975 last month. However, that’s an increase of over 5% from February’s median price of $825,000. The condo market saw year-over-year gains of 4.9%, increasing from a median price of $510,025 in March 2022 to $535,000 last month. The residential market still had relatively tight inventory at about 1.1 month’s supply. However, when compared to the scant .3 month’s supply of March 2022, buyers seem to have their pick of listings. The Eastside saw the greatest year-over-year price decrease, which is to be expected considering the already high price point of the area. While the median single-family home price decreased almost 17% from $1,700,000 in March 2022 to $1,411,500 last month, the area did see monthly gains; the median price increased just over 5% from $1,340,000 in February. Condos in the area also had monthly increases, from a median price of $540,000 in February to $585,000 last month. Snohomish County — while still more affordable than its neighbors — was also up compared to February. Last month, the median price for single family homes in the area was $724,000, up from $690,560 in February. The area had the smallest relative year-over-year price decrease of 9.5%, coming down from a median of $800,000 in March 2022. With just .8 months of inventory, Snohomish is still a desirable area for buyers looking to get the most bang for their buck. Over the last few weeks, tapering interest rates have brought buyers back to the market, but low inventory remains a key challenge for prospective buyers moving forward. If you’d like to learn more about what these market conditions mean for you, please reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
A recent surge in purchase activity indicates that the early spring real estate market is in full swing in our region. Fluctuating interest rates have caused some buyers to converge on properly-priced listings when rates are down, while potential sellers have been hesitant to let go of the historically low mortgages they have on their homes. This has led to a well-known dynamic in our region: not enough inventory to meet the current demand, causing buyers to compete again in multiple offer scenarios. The likely effect of this push-pull will be higher prices in the coming months, despite the constraints of higher (and unpredictable) mortgage rates. The current interest rate environment is the difference between the level of competition the market is experiencing now and the frenzy of the pandemic market. Buying power is lessened by higher mortgage payments and, with rates still in flux, creative financing is key for many buyers. That being said, Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner notes that buyers are eager to take advantage of brief dips in rates when they do appear. “What is interesting is that home prices rose between January and February, which tells me that buyers jumped on the opportunity to take advantage of mortgage rates that dipped below 6.1% five times between mid-January end early February,” Gardner said. In King County, single-family home prices did rise from $781,098 in January to $800,000, though that’s down 6.7% from $857,750 in February 2022. Condos were also up, with a median price of $468,500 last month compared to $450,000 in January. Seattle followed much the same pattern, with the median price of single-family homes rising from $803,750 in January to $825,000 last month. While that is still down 11% from $925,000 this time last year, interest rates have played a large part in what buyers can reasonably afford. In the last two years alone, the median interest payment for a single-family home has risen 54%, from $3,283 in February 2021 to $5,085 — an increase of $1,802. Despite this, demand is still high, as buyers do what they can to break into the market. In February, 28% of Seattle homes sold above list price, and 53% of listings sold in under two weeks. On the Eastside, the median price of a single-family home last month was $1,340,000 — down over 21% from a year ago, when the median was $1,697,500. However, February sold prices were up from January, when the median was $1,320,000. A sure sign that the Eastside market is becoming more competitive, in the last three months both the number of homes selling above asking price and the amount over list price have doubled. In Snohomish County, the median price for single-family homes fell 7.4% year-over-year to $690,560. Unlike the other regions, that’s also down from January’s median price of $699,000. The higher interest rates could be causing more buyers in this market to pause as they wait for prices and rates to stabilize. The relative affordability of Snohomish County has long been a draw for many buyers, who now may be more sensitive to the fluctuations of the market. Looking ahead, Matthew Gardner predicts we will see more of the same trends. “Year over year, home sales prices are down, but that isn’t surprising given that a year ago homebuyers were scrambling to buy in the face of mortgage rates that were about to skyrocket,” he said. “I expect we will see a similar story for the next few months.” If you have questions about what these market conditions mean for you, please reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
Spring may have come early to the local housing market, with home sales increasing and multiple offers sneaking back into the norm after a downturn over the last few months. While still not at the levels of the peak pandemic market, buyers are actively competing with one another again, as mortgage rates and prices have come down in King and Snohomish counties. General low inventory on the affordable and mid-price end of the spectrum has also fueled competition. With the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage coming down to around 6.09% — about a full percentage point lower than last November — mortgage payments are more affordable to today’s buyers than they would have been in the fall, especially since home prices in most areas have come down or at the very least flattened. The question will be if today’s conditions fuel enough competition to set prices rising again in the coming months. In King County, single-family homes sold for a median of $781,098 in January, up slightly from $775,000 in January 2022. Of these sold units, 11% closed above list price, and over 30% sold in less than two weeks, markers of some competitive demand in the region. Combining King County condo and residential sales, January’s 1,003 sold units were a 32% drop from the 1,437 closings in December. In Seattle, the median price of a single-family home ticked up to $803,750 last month, compared to $790,000 a year ago. Almost 40% of Seattle residential listings sold in less than two weeks, and 13% sold above list price. With 1.3 months’ inventory, buyers seeking single-family homes have a few more options to choose from than they did a year ago, but the condo market in the city is where they can maximize their buying power even more. The median price for Seattle condos was a relatively affordable $487,500 and, with 2.1 months of inventory on the market, condo buyers may have an easier path to purchase for the time being. On the Eastside, prices continued to stabilize at a lower level than we saw during the pandemic. The median price of a single-family home in the area was $1,320,000 in January, down 13% from $1,515,500 in January 2022. Like Seattle, the Eastside currently has 1.3 months’ supply of homes. While only 8% of homes sold over list price in January, nearly 30% sold in two weeks or less, indicating that there is healthy buyer demand for correctly priced Eastside homes. Snohomish County remains a more affordable alternative to Seattle and the Eastside, with the median single-family home price dropping to $699,000 last month. That’s down from $715,000 the same period last year. The county has the smallest amount of inventory, with a single month’s supply of listed homes. Of the closed sales, 34% sold in less than two weeks — reinforcing the fact that many buyers are prepared to move quickly in a hastening market. According to Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner, taking an annual average “is better than comparing this month to this month.” For example, inventory across the Puget Sound region is up almost 200% year-over-year. When compared to the number of active listings during the last pre-pandemic year, the current number falls short by about 30%. This indicates there’s still plenty of room for a competitive market in the months ahead. If you have questions about these housing market trends or other real estate topics, please reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT This post originally appeared on
The close of 2022 brought the housing market extremes of the last year into sharp focus. With decreased sales, generally increasing inventory and lower prices, the December market finally seemed to hit the winter slowdown that has characterized typical market cycles of years past. This stands in contrast to the early months of 2022, which saw sky-high prices and scarce inventory, before the threat of inflation and rising mortgage rates caused the shift in the latter half of the year. Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner commented on this phenomenon. “The local housing market in 2022 ended with a whimper rather than a bang. Overall, the housing market is going to continue falling off the artificial ‘sugar high’ that was a function of the artificially low mortgage rates during the pandemic,” he said. This is not necessarily a bad thing, as stability in the market could translate to more predictable price appreciation for sellers, and better circumstances for buyers to enter the market. In most cases, it’s low- and middle-priced homes that are missing from the market, so many first-time buyers still have plenty of pent-up demand for inventory that meets their needs and financial situations. Despite a 43.3% drop in closed sales compared to December 2021, last month saw the median price for single-family homes in King County rise to $825,000. That’s up from the median of $810,000 this time last year. This could speak to the lingering effects of inflation on the market, or be a factor of the lack of entry and mid-level homes currently available to buyers. The Seattle market experienced the same pattern, with a year-over-year price increase of almost 5%, from $839,000 in December 2021 to $879,975 last month. Closed sales were down in the city as well, dropping 43.5% from last year to just 394 units, leaving the market with just under six weeks of inventory. The condo market mimicked this trend, with the median price rising to $512,500 last month, up from $490,000 December 2021. Additionally, Seattle condos offered the highest amount of inventory, with 2.5 months of stock. Things were a little different on the Eastside, which had experienced perhaps the highest price boom during the “sugar high” of the pandemic. There, single-family home prices decreased around 15% year-over-year, landing at a median of $1,299,000 last month, compared to $1,529,500 in December 2021. This is likely due to higher mortgage rates dampening the buying power of potential homebuyers in the area. Entry-level buyers may be forced to look in more affordable markets for the time being, and December’s 39.5% decrease in closed sales compared to December 2021 reflects this. Interestingly, Eastside condos experienced a sold price increase, to a median of $565,000, up from $550,000 last year. This is likely because condos are a much more affordable entry point to the Eastside market, and may be experiencing higher demand as buyers tailor their expectations to the current market conditions. After the ups and downs of the last year, Snohomish County ended exactly where it began, with a median single-family home price of $700,000 — the same as in December 2021. Closed sales in the area were down 38.3%, leaving the market with about six weeks of inventory. Throughout the pandemic, Snohomish County has been a relatively stable market compared to the fluctuations of Seattle and the Eastside, making it a desirable area for first-time buyers and those looking to maximize their buying power. Looking ahead, Matthew Gardner expects 2023 will see continued price declines. However, “With mortgage rates expected to slowly fall from current levels, sale prices should start increasing again in the second half of the year,” he said. Gardner continued, “Ultimately, once prices pull back to where they would have been if the pandemic had never occurred, they will start to stabilize and then return to a more normalized pace of appreciation.” Sellers and buyers have certainly felt the impacts of shifting economic conditions on the housing market. A slower market pace and modest price decreases may be necessary to help reset expectations on both sides and set up sustained future success. If you have questions about how to make the most of the current market conditions, please reach out to your Windermere broker. VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT
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